Nacional vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
CEN
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
CSC
77%
15%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCI
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 1
CSM
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CEN
0 - 0
TAC
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |