Nacional vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
LQE
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SUD
1 - 0
MWA
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ATE
0 - 0
SUD
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAN
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
SUD
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -3 |