Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
CRZ
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
CRZ
4 - 0
NAC
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOC
50%
28%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
TAC
3 - 0
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
AME
3 - 0
TAC
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |