Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 0-3
Nacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
GOI
1 - 1
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |