Clausura Uruguay Final
Global 6-1
Nacional vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 4
NAC
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
DAN
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
CSM
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 4
NAC
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
PEÑ
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
JUN
1 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 2
CSM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 1
ROC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |