Nacional vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 2
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
SCI
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
REN
1 - 3
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 0
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 2
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
ROC
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 1
RIV
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |