Nacional vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
NAC
4 - 0
FEN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
CSC
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
LFC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
ROC
6 - 1
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 1
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 0
ROC
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
MWA
2 - 2
ROC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |