Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 0
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 3
SUD
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 2
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
3 - 1
PLA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |