Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
LFC
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
ZUL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 0
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
FEN
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
MWA
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |