Nacional vs Rentistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
OPE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rentistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
REN
1 - 3
CSM
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
RAC
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 3
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REN
6 - 5
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |