Nacional vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TAC
1 - 1
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 2
DEF
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 4
PEÑ
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 1
RAC
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAC
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 4
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
RAC
42%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |