Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 1-0
Nacional vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOB
54%
27%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
NOB
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1989 |
RAC
0 - 2
SLO
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 1
BOC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
PLA
0 - 0
RAC
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
EST
0 - 0
RAC
32%
30%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
RAC
2 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |