Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-2
Nacional vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1967 |
RAC
0 - 0
NAC
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
69%
17%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 0
CRZ
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1967 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1967 |
RAC
0 - 0
NAC
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1967 |
EST
3 - 0
RAC
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1967 |
RAC
2 - 0
IND
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1967 |
RAC
1 - 1
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1967 |
IND
0 - 3
RAC
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |