Nacional vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 0
CCD
94%
6%
1%
|
82 | 9 | 73 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
5 - 1
CSM
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
PLA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
PFC
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
COL
57%
26%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
LTR
1 - 3
PLA
3%
9%
88%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | +1 |