Nacional vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 2
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
NAC
4 - 0
FEN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
CSC
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
JUN
0 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
ROC
6 - 1
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
MWA
0 - 2
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
PLA
1 - 0
REN
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 3
DEF
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |