Nacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
3 - 2
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |