Nacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 3
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 3
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
FLU
1 - 3
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
GAL
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |