Nacional vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |