Nacional vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 1
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
OPE
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
JWI
6 - 1
OPE
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |