Nacional vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
UNI
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
0 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
OPE
2 - 3
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
RPO
4 - 0
OPE
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
CIP
1 - 1
OPE
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
OPE
2 - 3
JWI
53%
22%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 0
OPE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
OPE
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |