Nacional vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 0
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 2
OPE
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |