Nacional vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CUE
2 - 0
OLM
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
OLM
1 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 0
OLM
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
EME
0 - 0
OLM
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
OLM
2 - 3
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |