Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-5
Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 1
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
RIV
1 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 1
OLI
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
30%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 1
NOB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |