Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
1 - 0
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
27%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
4 - 2
NAC
95%
4%
2%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
95%
3%
2%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1983 |
MWA
0 - 0
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
OLI
2 - 3
MWA
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
27%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |