Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
3 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |