Nacional vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
5.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.9%
+10
0.9%
9-0
1.7%
10-1
0.9%
+9
2.5%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
1.6%
10-2
0.4%
+8
4.9%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
2.8%
9-2
0.8%
10-3
0.1%
+7
8.1%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
4.2%
8-2
1.3%
9-3
0.3%
10-4
<0%
+6
11.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
5.6%
7-2
2%
8-3
0.4%
9-4
0.1%
+5
14.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.7%
7-3
0.7%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.1%
3.5%
Draw
0-0
0.2%
1-1
1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
3.5%
1.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
95%
3%
2%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
COB
2 - 2
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
24%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 2
COB
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
3 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |