Nacional vs Municipal La Paz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
JWI
0 - 0
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
2 - 3
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 2
NAC
18%
18%
64%
|
80 | 21 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 0
PEÑ
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 4
MUN
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 2
PEÑ
32%
22%
47%
|
22 | 79 | 57 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 2
NAC
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 80 | 59 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 1
JWI
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 70 | 49 | 0 |