Nacional vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CER
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAN
50%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |