Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 4
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
74%
16%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 0
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 2
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 1
CSM
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LFC
3 - 3
MWA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |