Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 1
MIL
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1988 |
MWA
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1988 |
CRZ
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 2
CRZ
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1988 |
MWA
2 - 1
MIL
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1988 |
MWA
1 - 2
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1988 |
MWA
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
4 - 2
MWA
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
3 - 2
MWA
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |