Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
4.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.6%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.3%
9-1
1.2%
10-2
0.3%
+8
3.8%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
2.2%
9-2
0.6%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6.7%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
3.7%
8-2
1.1%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
10.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
5.2%
7-2
1.8%
8-3
0.4%
9-4
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.6%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.7%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
0.3%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
4.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1983 |
NAC
3 - 0
OLI
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
1 - 0
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
27%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
4 - 2
NAC
95%
4%
2%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1983 |
MWA
0 - 0
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
OLI
2 - 3
MWA
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
1 - 0
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
3 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |