Nacional vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
BVS
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |