Nacional vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
NAC
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSM
3 - 2
LFC
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
CSM
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 1
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 5
MWA
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |