Nacional vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
ARG
50%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CSM
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
5 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CSM
1 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
CSM
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
CSM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |