Nacional vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCI
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
POR
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 2
SCI
18%
27%
55%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MET
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MET
2 - 3
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |