Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LFC
1 - 0
DAN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 0
ATE
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
4 - 3
CSC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 0
CIE
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |