Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
5 - 1
MWA
69%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 4
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LFC
0 - 0
TAC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 1
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 1
LFC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 2
PEÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 2
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |