Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
JUN
3 - 2
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
LFC
2 - 0
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
CER
0 - 1
LFC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FEN
2 - 0
LFC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 3
LFC
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |