Nacional vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
CER
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUV
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |