Nacional vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 3
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
JUV
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DAN
2 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |