Nacional vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
4 - 1
DAN
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
CSC
2 - 2
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
OPE
1 - 3
JUN
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 1
OPE
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
JUN
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
JUN
3 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 1
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |