Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
65%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
5 - 2
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
COL
3 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1967 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
4 - 2
COL
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
3 - 0
EME
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
4 - 1
BSC
56%
20%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
COL
1 - 0
GUA
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |