Nacional vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
GAR
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
FEN
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 1
DAN
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATE
3 - 1
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 3
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 3
FEN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |