Copa Libertadores Final
Global 0-3
Nacional vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
SWA
74%
15%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
EST
0 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOR
0 - 3
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1969 |
EST
4 - 0
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |