Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 0
EME
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
EME
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
EME
1 - 3
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |