Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 1
MUN
85%
10%
6%
|
80 | 23 | 57 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
JWI
0 - 0
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
2 - 3
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
EME
3 - 1
JWI
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
EME
1 - 2
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
OCT
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |