Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-5
Nacional vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 2
NAC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
CIE
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 1
TAC
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MIN
1 - 3
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
5 - 4
ATL
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |