Nacional vs Deportivo Galicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 5
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Galicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
GAL
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 1
GAL
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |