Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
CEL
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 2
CUE
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
QUI
46%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 1
EME
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |