Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 2
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
SCI
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
REN
1 - 3
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
PUM
1 - 1
NAC
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MWA
1 - 2
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
PEÑ
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
CEN
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
COL
0 - 3
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
5 - 3
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |